AFC Champions League Elite Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Al-Sadd vs Persepolis Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Sadd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
QAT
1 - 5
SAA
7%
16%
78%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAA
5 - 0
RAY
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
SAA
2 - 2
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAA
3 - 0
ALS
83%
12%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SAA
4 - 0
ALS
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +13 |
Matches
Persepolis Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
EST
0 - 0
PER
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
SRA
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
PER
3 - 1
ADS
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
NAS
74%
19%
8%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
ADS
1 - 0
PER
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +7 |