Al-Sadd vs Al-Shamal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
10º
2º
19
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 46 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 42 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 41 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 29 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 28 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 28 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 27 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 24 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
35% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
20% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 91% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Sadd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AHL
2 - 2
SAA
31%
23%
47%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 2
SAA
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
SAA
1 - 1
ALH
31%
21%
48%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
KHO
2 - 5
SAA
25%
23%
51%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
WAS
1 - 1
SAA
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 3
ALS
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 2
ALS
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 0
ALS
61%
21%
19%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 1
WAK
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 6
ADS
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |