Al-Sadd vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
10º
2º
31
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 46 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 42 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 42 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 36 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 30 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 27 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 27 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
11º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
13.5% | 22.5% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
39% | 30.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
33.5% | 39.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
14% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Sadd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ADS
5 - 1
SAA
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
AIN
1 - 1
SAA
65%
18%
18%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SAA
1 - 3
UMM
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SAA
5 - 0
ARA
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 5
SAA
26%
22%
52%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 3
GHA
28%
23%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
GHA
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALS
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GHA
0 - 3
WAK
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GHA
2 - 1
RAY
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |