Al-Riyadh SC vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
11º
8º
41
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 74 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 73 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 60 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 44 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 56% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Riyadh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
DHA
2 - 2
ALR
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALS
34%
25%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALR
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ALR
2 - 1
ALQ
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
ALN
5 - 1
AIN
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALH
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALT
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
KHO
3 - 3
ALN
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
ALN
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |