Al-Riffa vs Alay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Riffa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
RIF
0 - 3
ARB
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
0 - 0
RIF
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
RIF
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
RIF
2 - 0
SHA
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SHA
0 - 2
RIF
32%
23%
46%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 1
SHA
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 62 | 53 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SHA
2 - 1
ALA
86%
11%
4%
|
10 | 63 | 53 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
6 - 0
ALA
92%
7%
2%
|
10 | 70 | 60 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 0
RIF
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | +1 |