Al-Rayyan vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Rayyan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
RAY
3 - 1
SHA
31%
24%
45%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
RAY
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
RAY
0 - 3
ALH
24%
23%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
IST
2 - 3
RAY
7%
15%
78%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SAI
3 - 2
RAY
50%
23%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FKE
1 - 1
IST
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
IST
0 - 3
ALH
6%
14%
81%
|
30 | 78 | 48 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
IST
3 - 0
IST
58%
20%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ALH
1 - 0
IST
89%
9%
3%
|
28 | 78 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
SHA
2 - 1
IST
87%
10%
3%
|
28 | 74 | 46 | 0 |