Al-Raed vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALR
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALW
0 - 1
ALR
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ALR
2 - 2
ALS
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
ALH
6 - 0
ALR
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
HAJ
1 - 2
ALR
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
NAJ
0 - 1
ALF
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NAJ
2 - 0
ALI
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALN
1 - 1
NAJ
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NAJ
2 - 0
ALA
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALT
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |