Al-Raed vs Al-Wehda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
16º
13º
13
7º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 71 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 47 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
27% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALR
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALR
42%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
RAB
0 - 2
ALR
16%
20%
64%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALR
1 - 2
ALR
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 5
ALR
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Wehda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
ALW
2 - 2
ALF
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALW
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALW
1 - 1
ALF
49%
23%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
ALW
0 - 1
KHO
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
7 - 1
ALW
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |