Al-Raed vs Al-Riyadh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
8º
13º
8º
7
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
8 | 62 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 61 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 52 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 50 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 47 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 47 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 44 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 39 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 39 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 32 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 32 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
18º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
16% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 29.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 5
ALR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALQ
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALR
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 4
ALR
28%
24%
49%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NKV
5 - 1
ALR
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Riyadh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 3
ALH
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ALR
3 - 1
KHO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ALW
3 - 3
ALR
56%
23%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 1
ALR
25%
23%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALA
22%
21%
57%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |