Al-Raed vs Al-Qadsiah FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
15º
14º
38
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 71 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 60 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 46 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 45 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 44 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 36 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 34 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
17º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 27 |
18º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALR
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 4
ALR
28%
24%
49%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NKV
5 - 1
ALR
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
ZOR
3 - 2
ALR
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
DHA
1 - 1
ALR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Qadsiah FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALQ
3 - 0
ALF
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ALQ
1 - 1
ALI
40%
25%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
OLP
2 - 2
ALQ
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
RAY
0 - 2
ALQ
43%
24%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
ALQ
1 - 0
ALS
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |