Al-Raed vs Al-Fateh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
16º
14º
10
12º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 74 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 73 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 60 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 44 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
35% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALR
2 - 2
ALW
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALR
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALR
42%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
RAB
0 - 2
ALR
16%
20%
64%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALR
1 - 2
ALR
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Fateh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 1
KHO
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 0
ALF
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 4
ALA
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
JAB
2 - 0
ALF
18%
21%
61%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
ALO
1 - 0
ALF
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |