AFC Cup 1/16
Global 5-3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ahed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
BAG
0 - 1
ALQ
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ALQ
2 - 0
ALS
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ALQ
2 - 0
ALS
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 4
ALQ
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
ALQ
1 - 1
MAL
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALN
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
3 - 1
MAN
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALA
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
ALZ
1 - 1
ALA
65%
20%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -16 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
3 - 2
ALA
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |