Al-Qadsiah FC vs Al-Ahli SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
11º
11º
7
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
8 | 62 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 61 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 52 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 50 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 47 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 47 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 44 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 39 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 39 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 32 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 32 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
18º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
6.5% | 32% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Qadsiah FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALQ
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALQ
0 - 1
ALS
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALQ
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALQ
3 - 0
ALF
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ALQ
1 - 1
ALI
40%
25%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
4 - 2
DHA
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALA
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 0
ALA
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALO
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |