AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Al Qadsia vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
54.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Qadsia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2008 |
ARB
4 - 2
ALQ
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
ALQ
2 - 2
PAK
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
GHA
0 - 1
ALQ
59%
21%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
ALQ
1 - 0
GHA
40%
24%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
ALQ
1 - 1
ARB
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
URA
0 - 0
OIT
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
TOK
1 - 1
URA
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
URA
3 - 1
JUB
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
FCT
0 - 1
URA
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
URA
2 - 2
KAR
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |