Al-Nejmeh vs Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nejmeh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALG
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 4
ALN
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALE
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALN
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2012 |
ALN
1 - 0
SAF
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 3
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 3
TRI
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 2
ALA
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
SAF
2 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |