Al Nejmeh vs Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
5º
4º
5
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nejmeh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 2
ALN
11%
20%
69%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 2
SHA
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 2
ALN
30%
27%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALN
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HIK
0 - 2
ALN
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 4
ALA
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
HIK
32%
26%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 6
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
4 - 1
TRI
43%
29%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TAD
0 - 0
TRI
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |