Al Nejmeh vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nejmeh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
ALN
1 - 0
TAD
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALN
17%
25%
59%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALN
1 - 0
SHA
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ALN
2 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 4
ALN
26%
26%
47%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAF
1 - 1
SHA
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAL
0 - 0
SAF
28%
24%
49%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 0
SAF
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAF
0 - 0
TRI
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |