Al Nejmeh vs Racing Beirut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nejmeh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALA
47%
23%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ALN
3 - 0
ALM
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ALN
2 - 1
SSO
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALN
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ALN
2 - 1
TRI
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Beirut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAF
0 - 0
RAC
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 2
SAF
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 3
ALA
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 2
ALA
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 1
RAC
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |