Arab Club Champions Cup Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-4
Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nejmeh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
ALN
4 - 2
ALA
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALN
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +8 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALN
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
ALN
1 - 0
CLU
17%
23%
61%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALN
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
4 - 0
HOR
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
HOR
0 - 0
ALA
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
EEE
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +8 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
ALA
4 - 3
KCC
89%
9%
2%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
HEL
0 - 2
ALA
21%
29%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |