Al-Nassr vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
ALN
0 - 1
ABH
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALN
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ABH
2 - 2
ALN
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2009 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALN
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALW
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
ALH
2 - 1
NAJ
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NAJ
2 - 0
ALW
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2009 |
NAJ
1 - 4
ALI
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
NAJ
2 - 1
ALR
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
ALH
1 - 0
NAJ
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |