Al-Nassr vs Lekhwiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
NAJ
2 - 4
ALN
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 5
ALN
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
BUN
0 - 1
ALN
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ALN
3 - 0
HAJ
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALT
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lekhwiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
JAI
0 - 1
LEK
40%
23%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LEK
5 - 0
QAT
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
LEK
3 - 0
PER
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
SAI
0 - 5
LEK
46%
24%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LEK
3 - 1
AHL
47%
25%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |