Al-Nassr vs Hajer FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
ALH
4 - 1
ALN
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 1
ALN
34%
26%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALF
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALA
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
ALR
1 - 4
ALN
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Hajer FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
HAJ
0 - 1
ALI
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
ANS
0 - 2
HAJ
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
HAJ
2 - 1
ALT
34%
26%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
ALH
3 - 1
HAJ
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
HAJ
0 - 3
ALA
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |