Al-Nassr vs Damac FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
9º
2º
36
5º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
ALN
39%
25%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALW
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MAL
0 - 2
ALN
19%
23%
59%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 2
ALN
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 2
ALN
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Damac FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DHA
2 - 1
ALK
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 1
DHA
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
DHA
1 - 1
ALT
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 1
DHA
37%
26%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
DHA
0 - 3
ALF
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |