Al-Nassr vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALN
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALG
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ALN
0 - 2
ALA
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 1
ALN
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 2
ALN
18%
23%
59%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 0
ALS
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
ALW
0 - 1
ALS
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALQ
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALH
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
ALS
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |