Al-Nassr vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ALW
1 - 1
ALN
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALN
22%
23%
54%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALN
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALI
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALA
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALS
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ALS
2 - 0
JAI
69%
18%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
ALS
3 - 2
ALH
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ALS
2 - 2
ALR
59%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALS
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |