Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALK
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ZOB
3 - 0
ALN
39%
25%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALO
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 1
ALN
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HAJ
0 - 5
ALI
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 0
SEP
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALI
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALH
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 1
ALK
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |