Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALN
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
ALN
3 - 4
ALH
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
ALN
4 - 1
ALH
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALN
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ALN
4 - 0
ALF
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
LEK
2 - 0
ALI
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 1
AIN
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
5 - 3
NAH
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 0
ALI
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALR
62%
21%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |