Saudi King's Cup Last 16
Global 4-4
Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
ZOB
4 - 1
ALN
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
ALI
5 - 2
ALN
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALH
79%
15%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
EST
2 - 1
ALN
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
ALN
4 - 0
PAK
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 1
ALH
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
ALI
5 - 2
ALN
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALI
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
BUN
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
PER
3 - 2
ALI
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |