Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazem SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2011 |
EST
2 - 1
ALN
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
ALN
4 - 0
PAK
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALN
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALH
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
ALN
1 - 1
SAA
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hazem SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALH
0 - 3
NAJ
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ALH
1 - 4
ALI
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 0
ALH
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
ALH
0 - 4
ALS
22%
27%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
ALR
2 - 0
ALH
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |