Al-Nassr vs Al-Fayha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
10º
3º
16
12º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 74 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 71 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 60 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 47 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 44 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 29 |
18º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
57% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
ALN
4 - 0
WAS
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ALR
1 - 2
ALN
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALF
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
ALK
1 - 3
ALN
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
ALT
1 - 1
ALN
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Fayha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
ALF
0 - 0
ALT
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALF
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
ALF
1 - 0
KHO
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALF
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ALF
1 - 1
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |