AFC Champions League Elite Last 16
Global 3-0
Al-Nassr vs Al-Fayha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALF
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 1
ALN
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ALN
0 - 2
ALH
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ALN
6 - 0
IMI
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 4
ALN
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Fayha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALH
1 - 3
ALF
36%
26%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 1
ALN
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 2
ALF
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 2
ALH
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
ALK
3 - 0
ALF
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |