Al-Nassr vs Al-Okhdood analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
10º
3º
15
12º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 71 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 47 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
55% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 51.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALN
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 2
SAA
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 0
DHA
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 3
ALN
28%
22%
50%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALQ
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Okhdood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
ALW
2 - 3
ALA
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
KHO
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALS
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 0
ALA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
4 - 0
ALO
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |