Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Orooba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
7º
4º
3
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 49 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 47 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 33 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 33 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 32 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 31 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 28 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 28 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 22 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 20 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 16 |
12º
|
45.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 16 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 7 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasr Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
AIN
4 - 1
ALN
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SAD
2 - 0
ALN
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
ALN
5 - 5
SAD
26%
23%
52%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
SAD
2 - 0
ALN
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Al Orooba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
ALU
1 - 2
DAH
40%
25%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
BAT
1 - 0
ALU
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
WAS
6 - 0
ALU
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 2
AJM
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
WAH
3 - 0
ALU
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |