Al Nasr Dubai vs Khorfakkan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
14º
6º
23
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasr Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
WAH
1 - 0
ALN
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ALN
4 - 3
SAD
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 3
ALN
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ALN
3 - 2
SAD
23%
26%
50%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Khorfakkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 3
ALK
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 1
AIN
14%
22%
65%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AJM
2 - 2
ALK
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALK
2 - 1
BAY
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 3
BAT
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |