Al Nasar vs Al Yarmouk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
10º
10º
2
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
12 | 18 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 16 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 13 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 10 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 10 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 9 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 7 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 7 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
2 | 6 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 6 |
10º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
5% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
95% | 93% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 0
ALN
56%
22%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 5
ALK
22%
23%
56%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
KAZ
0 - 1
ALN
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
0 - 2
KHA
46%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALS
3 - 1
ALN
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Al Yarmouk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KHA
1 - 1
YAR
42%
25%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
YAR
2 - 4
AFH
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ALQ
1 - 0
YAR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
YAR
4 - 4
ALT
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
YAR
3 - 0
ALT
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |