Al-Nahda vs Sohar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
6º
1º
37
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nahda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
ALN
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
OMA
0 - 1
ALN
31%
27%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ALN
0 - 0
DHO
51%
26%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ALS
2 - 0
ALN
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALN
36%
27%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sohar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
SOH
3 - 0
ALI
68%
18%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
RUS
0 - 0
SOH
36%
27%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SOH
1 - 0
ALN
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
RUS
0 - 1
SOH
35%
27%
39%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
OMA
1 - 3
SOH
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |