Al-Nahda vs Salam Zgharta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nahda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
KBR
2 - 1
ALN
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ALN
2 - 1
SUR
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALS
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BSH
2 - 1
ALN
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
ALN
68%
18%
13%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 3
SAL
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
RAC
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
ALN
68%
18%
13%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 2
ALW
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 1
SAF
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |