Sultan Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Al-Nahda vs Al-Oruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nahda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
DHO
1 - 2
ALN
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
ALN
2 - 0
SUR
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
MSN
1 - 1
ALN
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALN
44%
27%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Oruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALO
47%
27%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
ALO
0 - 0
OMA
33%
28%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
DHO
3 - 2
ALO
54%
25%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ALO
0 - 1
SOH
37%
28%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
BAH
4 - 2
ALO
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |