Al-Nahda vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nahda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
SUR
0 - 0
ALN
36%
28%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
ALN
3 - 0
MSN
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALS
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 2
ALN
84%
13%
3%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 3
ALN
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
ALK
0 - 0
TRI
28%
30%
42%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 1
TRI
33%
29%
39%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 0
AOZ
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 2
ALN
84%
13%
3%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 1
GEI
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |