Al Naft vs Baghdad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Naft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 2
ALN
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALN
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALN
2 - 2
KAR
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALK
2 - 2
ALN
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 2
HUD
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
BAG
1 - 2
ALS
19%
27%
54%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
HUD
2 - 1
BAG
64%
23%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
BAG
0 - 2
NSC
25%
31%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
BAG
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
BAG
1 - 1
KAR
25%
31%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |