Al-Merreikh SC vs Zesco United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
ALM
4 - 0
ALH
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
ALM
3 - 1
ALN
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
KAN
3 - 1
ALM
74%
18%
9%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ALM
3 - 2
ALA
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
WAD
0 - 0
ALM
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
ZES
1 - 1
KAB
49%
28%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
ALH
1 - 0
ZES
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ZES
2 - 0
ZFC
47%
28%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
ZES
1 - 1
KAN
12%
23%
66%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
ZES
0 - 0
LUD
48%
28%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |