CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-4
Al-Merreikh SC vs Recreativo do Libolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALM
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALA
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
REC
2 - 1
ALM
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
ALH
0 - 0
ALM
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALH
62%
20%
19%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo do Libolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PET
3 - 2
REC
25%
29%
46%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
REC
2 - 1
ALM
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
REC
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
REC
0 - 1
BEN
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
CRD
1 - 1
REC
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |