Arab Club Champions Cup Primera Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Al-Merreikh SC vs Al-Jaish analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
AAS
1 - 2
ALM
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
ALJ
1 - 3
ALM
65%
23%
12%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 1
HAY
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALM
52%
25%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 1
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
ALJ
1 - 3
ALM
65%
23%
12%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
ALJ
2 - 0
SHO
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
TIS
0 - 0
ALJ
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
ALJ
2 - 0
TIS
46%
29%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
ALJ
0 - 0
ALI
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |