Al-Masry vs Al Tersana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Masry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
PET
1 - 3
ALM
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ALM
2 - 1
ETI
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
MOK
1 - 1
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 1
ZAM
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALM
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al Tersana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
ETI
3 - 3
ALT
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ALT
0 - 0
ZAM
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ITT
0 - 0
ALT
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 2
GHA
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
ELS
2 - 1
ALT
56%
26%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |