Al-Masry vs Al Ittihad Alexandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
5º
18º
5º
43
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Masry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
ELD
0 - 1
ALM
20%
27%
53%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 2
ASW
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
ISM
0 - 1
ALM
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 2
MOK
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
HEL
0 - 0
ALM
19%
26%
55%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ittihad Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 2
ENP
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ASY
3 - 0
ALI
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
CCF
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
SMO
0 - 2
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
PHA
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |