Al-Masry vs Al Ittihad Alexandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
27.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Masry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
WAD
4 - 1
ALM
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
ELS
34%
30%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2014 |
ENP
0 - 1
ALM
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PET
3 - 1
ALM
42%
28%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ittihad Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
ELD
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
HEL
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SMO
0 - 1
ALI
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 4
ALI
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
GEI
0 - 3
ALI
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |