Al-Markhiya vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
48.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
12º
11º
28
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Markhiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 2
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
GHA
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 4
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAA
10%
16%
74%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
QAT
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
UMM
2 - 0
ADS
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
UMM
2 - 1
ARA
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 1
UMM
61%
21%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
UMM
1 - 2
ALM
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
UMM
0 - 2
WAK
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |