Al-Markhiya vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
12º
11º
44
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Markhiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 4
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAA
10%
16%
74%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
QAT
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
ADS
0 - 0
MAR
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 1
UMM
61%
21%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
GHA
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GHA
3 - 0
RAY
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 2
GHA
18%
21%
62%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
GHA
2 - 2
SAA
34%
23%
43%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |