Al Karkh vs Baghdad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
30.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Karkh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
KAR
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
KAR
0 - 0
ALZ
28%
29%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
NSC
2 - 1
KAR
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
KAR
1 - 0
NAF
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 3
KAR
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
NSC
2 - 0
BAG
47%
28%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
BAG
0 - 0
ALQ
28%
31%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
BAG
0 - 0
NAF
37%
32%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 2
BAG
38%
30%
32%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
BAG
3 - 0
QAS
31%
30%
39%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |