AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Al-Karamah vs Gamba Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Karamah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
ALK
1 - 1
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2008 |
EFR
0 - 1
ALK
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2008 |
ALK
3 - 0
TAL
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
ALK
0 - 0
ALA
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
WAH
1 - 0
ALK
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 1
NAG
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
GAM
2 - 3
SHI
62%
20%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
SHI
1 - 1
GAM
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
CON
3 - 3
GAM
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 1
VIS
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |